Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return: An Empirical Investigation of an Emerging Market (ISE)

Multinational Finance Journal, 1999, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 223-252 | https://doi.org/10.17578/3-4-1

Gulnur Muradoglu, University of Manchester, U.K.

Hakan Berument, Bilkent University, Turkey

Kivilcim Metin, Bilkent University, Turkey

Abstract:
This paper examines how determinants of volatility and stock returns change with financial crisis. The contributions of the paper are twofold. First, using a GARCH-M framework, risk and return are jointly modeled by using macroeconomic variables both in the variance and the mean equations. The conditional variance equation is specified by including macro-economic variables, a relevant information set for emerging economies, that is often overlooked in various GARCH specifications. Second, determinants of risk and return are investigated before during and after a major financial crisis at ISE. We show that, both the determinants of risk and the risk-return relationship change as the economy switches from one regime to the other.

Keywords : Emerging; financial crisis; GARCH-M; Istanbul Stock Exchange; macroeconomic variables; risk; stock returns

Citation (Format 1)
Muradoglu, Gulnur, Hakan Berument, and Kivilcim Metin, 1999, Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return: An Empirical Investigation of an Emerging Market (ISE), Multinational Finance Journal, 3 (4), 223-252.
Citation (Format 2)
Muradoglu, G., Berument, H., Metin, K., 1999. Financial Crisis and Changes in Determinants of Risk and Return: An Empirical Investigation of an Emerging Market (ISE). Multinational Finance Journal, 3 (4), 223-252.

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Gambling Banks and Firm Financing in Transition Economies

Multinational Finance Journal, 1999, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 253-282 | https://doi.org/10.17578/3-4-2

Ranko Jelic, University of Birmingham, U.K.

Richard Briston, University of Hull, U.K.

Chris Mallin, University of Birmingham, U.K.

Abstract:
A transition from centrally-planned towards market-based economies in Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) in the early 1990’s, resulted in mass privatization programmes and the transformation of the state-controlled banks, the main (and sometimes the only) financial intermediaries in those countries. Given the unique institutional background, the focus of this paper is upon answering the following two questions: First, whether, and if so how, the emerging financial structures of firms in transition economies differ from the structures in Western financial markets? Second, what are the factors that affect bank loan supply schedules in transition economies, and to what extent do they differ between the selected countries? Results from data sets for firms in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland suggest lower debt ratios than those reported for the G-7 countries. Although some evidence of improvements in bank financial intermediation has been found, the range of factors that affect the supply side of loans in selected countries indicates the importance of further institutional reforms in transition economies (JEL G32, P34).

Keywords: bank lending; enterprise debt; firm financing; transition economies

Citation (Format 1)
Jelic, Ranko, Richard Briston, and Chris Mallin, 1999, Gambling Banks and Firm Financing in Transition Economies, Multinational Finance Journal, 3 (4), 253-282.
Citation (Format 2)
Jelic, R., Briston, R., Mallin, C., 1999. Gambling Banks and Firm Financing in Transition Economies. Multinational Finance Journal, 3 (4), 253-282.